A total of about 70-150 million people may be infected with the Coronavirus in the United States, according to a prediction shared with Congress.
Congressman Rashida Tlaib made this information during a US House of Representatives hearing with the members of the president’s Covid-19 anti-epidemic team on March 12, confirming what the US media, including Axios and NBC News, each published.
“Congressional health care doctor told the Senate that he predicts a total of 70-150 million people could be infected with the virus in the US,” Tlaib said, according to AFP.
Axios previously reported that Dr. Brian Monahan presented his prediction to senior members in the Senate on March 10, saying they should prepare for the worst and give advice on how to stay healthy.
150 million people, or about 46% of the US population, are currently at 327 million. By comparison, German Chancellor Angela Merkel this week warned that up to 70% of the German population could be infected with the new strain of corona virus that causes Covid-19.
When asked by Congressman Tlaib if he believes the forecast is accurate, Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), said: “We really need to be careful with such predictions as so it is based on a model “.
“Every model is as good as the assumption that you put it in,” Fauci said, and with control and mitigation measures, the figure of 150 million could be avoided.
He also noted that a 2014 U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) model predicts an Ebola epidemic in Africa could affect more than a million people. However, this did not happen and the final number of infections was less than 30,000.
About 80% of Covid-19 cases are mild and the mortality rate is generally around 1%, according to the latest estimate Fauci presented to Congress on March 11.
Combined with the forecasts of the aforementioned cases, the final number of deaths in the US could range from 700,000 to 1.5 million.
By comparison, heart disease is the leading cause of death in the U.S. in 2018, with 650,000 deaths. Influenza and pneumonia caused about 60,000 deaths.
As of March 12, the United States has recorded more than 1,300 cases of corona virus and 38 deaths in the country, according to statistics from John Hopkins University.