Microsoft founder billionaire recently shared a detailed article about insights for the Covid-19 translation.
After leaving the leadership position at Microsoft, Bill Gates has contributed to epidemic research efforts as well as improving the living conditions of the poor.
In February, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation pledged to donate $ 100 million to combat the Covid-19 epidemic, including funding for medical frontline, preventive measures, patient treatment and vaccine development.
On the Reddit forum, Bill Gates recently held a Q&A session on the subject of the Covid-19 plague. The whole content was re-posted on his personal page, with information about anti-epidemic efforts and changes of post-pandemic society.
The Covid-19 epidemic is not fair to poor countries
One of the views repeated by Bill Gates in the answers is the advantage of rich countries when dealing with the epidemic. Specifically, developed countries can implement more effective patient screening systems, as well as easier social isolation practices. He believes that this is the only way at the present time to limit the outbreak.
“With the right actions, including social screening and isolation, within 2-3 months developed countries can prevent a pandemic from spreading.
I am also concerned about the economic impacts, but the worst will still be developing countries, which are difficult to isolate society as rich countries, and health care systems are also worse, ”said Bill Gates. share.
“Unfortunately, in many poor countries, social isolation is much more difficult. People live close to each other and need to work to eat, so there will be countries where the virus spreads strongly, ”he added.
In his responses, Bill Gates assessed China’s efforts to block many cities as an effective way to limit the number of infections at a level that the health system still controls. The billionaire rates social isolation in the short term, and vaccines in the long run, are the only ways to control the disease.
Bill Gates shared that he did not believe the theory of “community immunity” was being applied in the Netherlands.
“The only model that has proven effective is the radical social isolation effort. Without doing this, the disease would spread to such an extent that the hospital would be overwhelmed. Although isolation has many consequences, we must avoid hospital overload.
If one country cannot control its number of cases, other countries will ban people from entering and exiting the country. I think the Netherlands will eventually do the same as other countries, ”he commented.
Vaccine is still a long-term solution
When asked about the vaccine, Bill Gates said that the world is trying its best to create a vaccine against Covid-19, but cannot promise it will ever be available.
“We will have to build many facilities to test all the current approaches, because some will not work. We need billions of vaccine doses to protect the world. Vaccines need a testing process to ensure they are both effective and safe.
The first doses of vaccine we have will be given to people working in medicine and other important fields. It may not take up to 18 months if everything goes well, but neither me nor Dr. Fauci or everyone dared to promise in advance. All are trying our best, ”shared Bill Gates.
As for therapy, Bill Gates thinks they will help reduce the number of serious illnesses. However, to stop the global epidemic, the world still needs the vaccine.
“The treatment will be much sooner than the vaccine. Ideally, they will help reduce the number of emergency patients.
To reduce the number of global infections we need vaccines. Many rich countries, including the United States, can reduce the number of cases by taking the right measures, but developing countries will find it difficult to stop the epidemic. Therefore, the vaccine is of paramount importance, ”he added.
How will society change after the epidemic?
When asked to do research by Imperial College London (ICL) on “flattening graphs” and social isolation, the United States will still have one million deaths, Bill Gates said the study “is too negative”.
“Experience in China is the most important data we have. They close the door, check the infected people widely and can see new infections immediately. They prevent the epidemic from spreading.
The ICL model does not reflect this. Every model reflects only the assumptions people make for it, ”Bill Gates answered.
In the future, the billionaire believes that countries will have to be more prepared for pandemics like Covid-19, because without weapons, the disease will be more dangerous for humans.
“No one knows when a new strain will emerge. However, we can predict when an epidemic will occur at some point, whether it’s influenza or respiratory viruses.
We have prepared for wars and now we must prepare in advance to deal with the disease, ”he commented.
“I think after controlling the disease, governments and many other units will invest heavily to be ready to deal with the next disease. This will be a global cooperation effort to help developing countries, the places most affected.
An example is that we need to test treatments even if the disease occurs in any country. Viruses do not have a borderline concept, ”added Bill Gates.